Spend or save on people?

by Doug on June 29, 2009

In response to the current downturn many business are, sensibly, examining how to cut costs - Do we need this? Can we do without that? What can we delay doing? etc.

Having managed businesses through five recessions during my working life, I think I can reasonably claim to have been there, done that and got the tee shirt – although I also acknowledge that each new recession requires a new tee shirt!

As a result, I have the benefit of hindsight to know that many of my past cost cutting decisions were not the right thing for the business, either at the time or in the longer term.

Even in a recession the well worn saying “you’ve got to speculate to accumulate” holds true. It’s important to note that I don’t mean speculate in the sense of making high risk investments, but simply in terms of investing in potential future benefit, without absolute certainty about the outcome.

It’s on this matter of certainty that I think the whole thing really turns. Recessions are, by their nature, periods of uncertainty. No one is quite sure what will happen next, and this current one seems to be particularly prone to uncertainty. We’re hearing widely differing views emanating from a range of “experts”, and often several inconsistent opinions being expressed by the same person or group in just a matter of days.

It’s entirely natural that the people responsible for the success of businesses want to try and create some level of certainty and stability. They see one way of doing this as cutting costs - “saving” money – which appears to be safer than spending when you not quite sure what’s coming next. This is a completely valid viewpoint that in many, many cases is absolutely the right thing to do.

The problem arises when reducing expenditure becomes a dogma that no longer allows for imaginative investment, even in projects with a high likelihood of contributing significantly to the business’s short-term performance. The “we are undertaking no new expenditure for the next 6 months” approach, which appears quite widespread at the moment, simply fails to recognise that some projects can have immediate benefit and will contribute directly to increasing the stability of the business, rather than undermining it.

One area where carefully considered investment can produce huge benefit, and knee jerk cost cutting results in decimation, is people development. I know it’s a cliché, but whether or not they authentically acknowledge it, every business’s most important asset is their people.

The people are the one “asset” that has the ability to consciously decide for itself what its level of production will be, and the vast majority of people actually want to do what they do to the best of their ability. Well-crafted methods that support them in this are rarely wasted, particularly during a downturn.

On top of that, the simple fact that many of your competitors are currently holding back on their spending gives you an even greater advantage.

You gain a double benefit – the growth that you will always get from well thought out people development initiatives, plus the extra gap that is created by the competition’s lack of investment.

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The Leonardo Project

by Doug on April 17, 2009

Had a great meeting yesterday afternoon at the RSA with John Hyatt (Director of MIRIAD), one of the partners in The Leonardo Project.

We talked about ways to open up the project to seriously widespread collaboration via the web. The idea of  bringing thousands of minds to bear on some of the world’s big issues is completely inspiring. We cannot not let this happen!

I do love being involved in big and inspiring games.

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A happy ending

by Doug on April 17, 2009

Enjoyed a really good lunch at the Hoxton Apprentice on Wednesday - excellent food, thoroughly recommended.

However, this is really the end of a good story…..

On Monday of the previous week I had wandered out from Brick Lane to Spitalfields to find some lunch. As I passed some bike racks I noticed a messenger bag sitting propped against one of the bikes. I ignored it at first, but then as it didn’t seem to have an owner around I said to the friend I was with, “I’m going to check that bag out - it looks like the kind of bag that could have a laptop in it, and if I don’t do something, then whoever it belongs to will probably never see it again.”

After gingerly lifting one corner to look for wires, I opened it properly and sure enough there was a laptop inside. I poked around to see if I could find some id and felt this squishy object and knew without seeing it what it was. I pulled out an envelope containing a very substantial wad of cash! Off I went to the police station in Bishopsgate and handed it in.

On the Wednesday morning the police called to say the owner had been traced and would like to thank me personally for handing it in, and gave me his contact details. I called him a few minutes later and we had a long chat about how he’d left the bag there in the first place, why I’d actually chosen to return to it and the results that had fallen out of these actions for each of us. Always one to recognise synchronicity I suggested we meet up for a coffee to discover “why” we’d bumped into each other’s lives like this. Which is how I ended up in the Hoxton Apprentice.

We discovered we have loads of things in common, some almost spookily so, and will be meeting up again soon - this time simply because we’re becoming friends.

So all in all, it worked out very well. I got to do my bit for another human being, he got his bag back, we’ve both got a new friend, and I discovered an excellent restaurant. And he also gave me a really lovely present to thank me for what I’d done.

And the sun shone for the only day this week, so we could sit outside and enjoy a leisurely lunch!

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Nudge

by Doug on November 5, 2008

I’m currently listening to the audiobook of Nudge by Richard Thaler and Cass Sunstein.

It’s a fascinating and fun book that looks at the poor choices we tend to make in all sorts of everyday decisions, often because we are influenced by natural biases, misconceptions and inertia.

The authors suggest that these behaviours are simply part of being human. However, they  go on to  demonstrate that by understanding how people think, we can design choice environments (or Nudges) that make it easier for them to choose what is best for themselves, their families, and their society.

I particularly like their concept of “choice architecture” - structuring choices in ways that nudge us in beneficial directions without restricting freedom of choice.

Definitely worth a read/listen.

Find the book at Amazon and the audio at Audible.

Also, listen and watch Richard Thaler talking about Nudge at the RSA.

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Good food at Leon

by Doug on November 5, 2008

Having lunch in Leon, Spitalfields. I do enjoy the food here. Tasty, well prepared, reasonably priced. friendly staff AND healthy too.

On the business front it’s a great place to place to hold relaxed meetings, particulalrly outside peak times.

They’re all over London, take a look at the website for locations.

Thoroughly recomended - try it!

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Hope at last…..

by Doug on November 5, 2008

After eight years of despair at the messages and actions emanating from the United States, at last I feel there is cause for real hope.

The election of Barack Obama is a sign of something far bigger than just a shift from Republican to Democrat. It is a sign that, as a nation, America is ready to take it’s place as a force for good in the world.

The American people have let go of the jingoism, bigotry, ignorance and prejudice that has appeared to be their choice for the last eight years and said “Change can happen!”

Well done Barack, well done America. Now we can begin to love you again.

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There is only ever now…

by Doug on October 15, 2008

In the recent Dreamworks movie, Kung Fu Panda, Oogway the wise turtle and Kung Fu Master, says:

“Yesterday is history,
Tomorrow is a mystery,
But today is a gift.
That is why it is called the present.”

You might not think that the effects of the current economic turmoil are a gift, but it is still the present. And it is the present that we are living in. And it won’t always be.

Things will be different tomorrow. You will receive a new present. You don’t know what it will be - it is a mystery. And today will be history.

Each new moment arrives with a new present.

And as each new present arrives, the last one becomes history.

There is only ever now.

So how do you make the most of all these presents? And make sure that they don’t just become so much clutter in the attic of history?

One way is to create each tomorrow as something that aligns with your values, and that will move you towards the fulfilment of your dreams, goals and commitments.

Over recent weeks, many people have said things to me like “I’ve been through recessions before, but this one is different - I have no idea where it is going, when it will end or what to do. It is like being in a thick fog.”

Well, first of all, one thing is certain - it will end. Equally certain, some things will never be the same again, and that’s fine, because progress only happens when things change. If we kept recreating the past then all we would end up with is more of the same - and very little opportunity for growth.

And even in the depth of all the fog and confusion, it is still possible to keep moving towards the fulfilment of your dreams, goals and commitments.

Too often we live life like it’s a short term game - many argue that that is one of the reasons why the financial sector is experiencing the turmoil that it is now: too much focus on short term results. We lock onto the short term; the next few days, weeks, months or at most 2 or 3 years, and that causes us to become lost in the fog. If we have only short term plans and can’t see as far as them, we have no idea what to do next.

Imagine for a moment that you are literally lost in the fog - if you focus on a short term result, say being certain that you travel the next 50 yards in exactly the right direction, then you probably won’t move at all because any movement, except directly towards you target, is taking you away from it. If you happened to be unlucky enough to go in completely the opposite direction, you would end up twice as far from your goal.

Now, expand your vision. Say you aim towards a point 500 miles away. Any movement you make has a 50% chance of being towards your target, and even if you set off in the opposite direction, because it’s a short term movement in a long term context, you’re only a small distance off target, and can easily correct for it when the fog clears. Incidentally, did you know that long haul aircraft fly in the “wrong” direction for about 95% of the time, and are constantly making course corrections?

Bring that concept back to the metaphorical fog that we find ourselves in now. If your business or life plans are for, at most, 2 or 3 years it’s not surprising if you don’t know what to do right now. How best to deal with current circumstances? As I said earlier, things will be different, but right now, few people would want to bet on how. However, if you have a vision, based on your values, that stretches ten or more years into the future then that will give you the direction to take today. When you work this way you acquire a kind of inbuilt compass, which gives you a strong innate sense of direction, even in the thickest fog.

By creating that vision in the present, you give yourself the gift of certainty. The current conditions will change and we will find ourselves in a growth environment again. Many of today’s most successful businesses, such as Sun, Cisco and Adobe, were started during recessions.

Also, by working on a 10 year plus time scale, anything (and I do mean anything) becomes possible. In September 1998 Google was incorporated, opened a bank account and hired it’s first employee. 10 years later, it employs nearly 20,000 people, turns over around $20 billion, and is valued at almost  $160 billion! Like I said, anything is possible in 10 years. And what has given them direction throughout that time? Five words that align with their values and move them towards the fulfilment of their dreams, goals and commitments: “Never settle for the best.”

I’m sure that in 1998 they didn’t have a detailed plan to get where they have by 2008. And I’m definitely not suggesting that you should either. It is about creating a vision and a direction, and  then pursuing it relentlessly.

And there is only ever now.

And as for tomorrow? Well, that’s up to you.

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